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« Slick Willie Obama | Main | Why 1759 Was A Very Good Year »

June 24, 2008

Comments

From the Chicago Tribune article:
The Zion Church opened its doors in May 2007...
"Most of our members are highly educated—master's degree holders, PhD holders, university professors," he said.

I work with a number of scientists from China, and I was surprised when I realized that virtually all of them attend a Chinese language church. Many of them will eventually move back to China and take their faith with them. It will be very interesting to see what happens in the next 10 or 20 years.

"Many of them will eventually move back to China and take their faith with them."

I think we are seeing a shift in our life time where those from China will say the same thing about us. In other words, I work with a bunch of Americans, and some of them will be going back to America with a new found faith. I think China is on path to replace America (and the West) as the largest nation sending Christian missionaries. I would be surprised if they don't view America as a mission field already.

I would be surprised if they don't view America as a mission field already.

You're probably right. I think it's pretty clear that some African churches already view us as a mission field.

I'd be careful about reading too much into this. 70 million sounds like a lot, but that's less than 5.3% of China's total population. By way of comparison, about 5.2% of the US population self-identifies as some non-Christian religion (Jewish, Muslim, Buddhist, Hindu, generic spritualism, etc.). Fully 15% of the US population classifies itself as nonreligious, atheist, or agnostic. So 5% of the Chinese population relegates Chinese Christians to a decidedly minority status.

Even the growth rate of 1 million Christians per year is paltry; if your figures are correct, Christianity in China grew by 10 million, while the population grew by 60 million during the same span -- so you have five times as many new non-Christians as new Christians. That means that while the total number of Christians in China is growing, they're becoming an ever-smaller percentage of the population, meaning they can be expected to have less influence.

Not what I'd call "staggering" by any means.

"Not what I'd call "staggering" by any means."

Disagree. One, many of those children that were born are now being born into Christian homes. Chances are pretty good that they will follow Christ as well. Two, Christianity is a missionary endeavor. This means that China's one million new Christians per year are going to produce millions of new missionaries which will produce tens of millions of new followers of Christ ... both within China and outside of China.

Exciting stuff.

tgirsch, I think your math is incorrect. 1 in 6 is 16.67%. That is more than 3 times as high as the current percentage of Chinese Christians, 5.3%. So the percentage of Chinese Christians is obviously rising dramatically. As Mr. D points out, the spread of Christianity might also be expected to increase in the future.

Steve:
I think your math is incorrect. 1 in 6 is 16.67%. That is more than 3 times as high as the current percentage of Chinese Christians, 5.3%. So the percentage of Chinese Christians is obviously rising dramatically.

Let it not be said that I refuse to admit error. You're right, of course. If growth (in both population and number of Christians) continues at the current rate, the rate will hit nearly 10.7% in 20 years. They'd still be a small minority, but their representation would nearly double in that time, assuming current trends continue.

I stand corrected.

[And, of course, because I'm a math geek at heart, I had to figure it out. Assuming those rates stay static -- a completely unrealistic assumption for a myriad of reasons, I'll grant -- the percentage of Chinese Christians would approach 16.67% along a logarithmic curve as a limit. I revised my previous math to use percentages rather than a fixed 60 million, and the ratio would hit 10% in 13 years, 15% in 44 years, and 16.67% in 198 years, assuming the second coming and Armageddon haven't hit by then. :)]

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